There is a lot of space in space. One has to wonder what is out there and if we are alone.
One undisputed fact we start with is that there are arguably an infinite number of galaxies out in space.
And within each, there are arguably and infinite number of solar system.
An organization here in the U.S. at Berkeley, has been searching for extraterrestrial life since February 1985 by
listening to radio waves (RF signals) from space. It was labelled the Search For Extra Terrestrials Intelligence
(SETI). Frankly, I think the SETI project is a good program as
far as it goes.
But, never have I heard my perspective on ET put forth in any public forum. So here goes.
So, are there ETs here? A couple of questions ..
- How did they travel here?
- If one type ET is here, then why not multiple types.
- Who are they and how many of "they" are there?
- If there are multiple ET's, how do they communicate?
- Did they get here before Homo erectus or after?
- Why would they be here? What could be their agenda?
If ETs are here, how could they have possibly found us? Well, obviously earth has been
broadcasting an RF signature for millions of years in the form of electro-static discharges
from lightening. So if ET needed any kind of beacon to home in on another similar class plant
(aka Goldilocks planets), they've had it for millions of years. More likely that was coupled
with the spectral signature our sun radiates. Wouldn't be to hard for an advanced civilization,
I expect, to have some kind of scanning technology for all stars with a specific light spectrum
Meanwhile, reigning estimates of our astro-physic community is that there are perhaps a billion or
more galaxies in the universe and a billion or more stars in each galaxy. So, if it can be that
there are essentially an infinite number of stars (suns/solar systems) out there in the universe,
then it follows that there are an infinite number of possibilities for other Goldilocks
class plants with other intelligent life forms in orbit around those far away suns. So, statistically
speaking, half of those goldilocks planets would have been formed before earth, perhaps thousands or
millions of years before earth, and statistically, life on half of those early worlds would have
progressed much more rapidly than on earth.
Lets do the math ...
Dr Frank Drake, in 1961, in an attempt to calculate how many possible intelligent worlds might be
out there just in our own Milky Way galaxy, came up with an equation which came to be known as the
Along a similar line, I'm taking a stab at the possible number of intelligent worlds in the
entire universe. I feel that Drake's approach should have included more. After-all, if some
entity could travel around our galaxy, then it would be a pretty short leap to travel around the
So, doing the math for the entire universe .. Humm, lets just focus on our own region of universe..
say 12 million light years. There are 152 known galaxies within 12 million light years.
Next, using very conservative estimates, lets say for arguments sake,
~1015 solar systems in those 152 galaxies. That is 10 to the 15th power.
Say 1% of those solar systems have Earth-like planets in their Goldilocks (habitable) zones.
This yields ~1013 Goldilocks zone planets. Next lets say that 1/2 of the ~1012
Goldilocks planets were formed before us. That would put the possible number at around ~1012
far more advanced earth-like planets. Say 50% of those worlds/stars/plantes have since died.
That leaves us with a VERY conservative estimate of ~1011 functioning plants with a distinct
possibility of being more advanced earth-like planets with, potentially, some form of space/time
travel technology. Humm.. what's that number? Is is 100 trillion (100,000,000,000) more advanced
worlds out there in our own region of the universe.
If some of those have visited earth, it would account for us earthlings describing ET visitors
since the beginning of recorded time (thousands of years).
Now, statistically speaking, IF we have been found and visited, it just doesn't make sense that
out of all that intelligent ET life that only one ET civilization found us. To me, if we have been
found and visited at all, then it makes far more sense that we have been visited by more than one
ET (from more than one planet/solar system) civilization. Since 60%-80% (purely my guess) of
the sightings seem to be of dissimilar craft and/or dissimilar craft behavior, it would seem to
suggest to me that we are teeming with ETs from MANY different worlds.
OK, for arguements sake, let's say that ET is in fact here.
OK, they are here. Don't have a clue what technology they are using to get here except that
they most likely are using some form of
gravitic propulsion or
anti-gravity drive systems,
some form of time/
worm hole exploit or a
dozen other propulsion systems.
OK, so we have lots of them running around up there (here) for thousands of years, then ...
How do they communicate between themselves? Obviously, if they are here in the numbers
that the sightings suggest, then they must be able to see and interact with each other. How?
Not by RF. We listen to the entire RF spectrum. How do they communicate with their home worlds?
Light? Sub-atomic particles? I don't know, but they clearly must have an angle on some other
spectrum of physics that we have not been able to master yet.
What agreements are in place between the various ETs out there. They obviously are not
having any disagreements (battles) between themselves over our planet, humm at least
in recent history. Maybe they worked out their issues back April 4, 1561 in the
skies over Nuremberg, Germany.
Anyway, if they had issues with each other, we would see it. So, it seems likely,
in my mind, that they have long ago reached agreement over how to share this
place. Humm.. share... what, why, how, what's the point? Why would multiple ETs want to
come so far at great risk and expense and want to share our planet without actually coming
down here, landing, stepping out and interacting with us.
The 2 possible reasons they are here depends on whether they started arriving
before Homo erectus or after.
If they arrived after Homo erectus their agenda could be research. What makes us tick?
If they arrived before though, then I expect their agenda is gardening. The ETs just want to see
how we are coming along and don't want to interfere with their experiment or their crops. Sort of
like weeding the garden, plucking a half grown carrot to see how it is doing, while careful not
to disturb the rest of the patch.
In any case, it accounts for so many tales of being abducted and then probed, examined
and then returned.
Have I ever seen an ET.. No! least I don't think so. But I am a strong believer that they
are a real statistical possibility. After all, there have been millions of documented
sightings all over the world, over thousands of years.
"Statistical possibility" does not make it a certainty, but if you ask a Las Vegas casino
floor boss what her/his reaction would be to someone winning 50 straight spins of a roulette wheel.
I should think they would answer "They're cheating" .. even if they didn't see it and couldn't prove it.